Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000677 0.000776 0.000881 0.001001 0.001133 0.001273 0.001434
2025-05-25 0.000522 0.000658 0.000813 0.001001 0.001221 0.001468 0.001767
2025-06-01 0.000423 0.000571 0.000747 0.000970 0.001242 0.001559 0.001953
2025-06-08 0.000348 0.000500 0.000690 0.000940 0.001256 0.001635 0.002120
2025-06-15 0.000301 0.000458 0.000661 0.000938 0.001297 0.001739 0.002318
2025-06-22 0.000264 0.000422 0.000636 0.000936 0.001335 0.001839 0.002510
2025-06-29 0.000229 0.000387 0.000607 0.000925 0.001358 0.001917 0.002675
2025-07-06 0.000198 0.000353 0.000576 0.000907 0.001370 0.001978 0.002817
2025-07-13 0.000183 0.000340 0.000573 0.000928 0.001434 0.002108 0.003051
2025-07-20 0.000167 0.000325 0.000566 0.000942 0.001486 0.002223 0.003267
2025-07-27 0.000148 0.000302 0.000545 0.000932 0.001504 0.002291 0.003421
2025-08-03 0.000129 0.000278 0.000520 0.000914 0.001510 0.002342 0.003550
2025-08-10 0.000119 0.000266 0.000514 0.000927 0.001561 0.002457 0.003773
2025-08-17 0.000107 0.000252 0.000503 0.000930 0.001597 0.002551 0.003969
2025-08-24 0.000091 0.000228 0.000473 0.000900 0.001581 0.002571 0.004061
2025-08-31 0.000078 0.000206 0.000445 0.000872 0.001567 0.002591 0.004151
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000195 0.000433 0.000870 0.001591 0.002668 0.004323
2025-09-14 0.000063 0.000184 0.000422 0.000868 0.001616 0.002745 0.004498
2025-09-21 0.000055 0.000171 0.000407 0.000858 0.001625 0.002799 0.004639
2025-09-28 0.000048 0.000158 0.000389 0.000841 0.001624 0.002837 0.004755
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000155 0.000391 0.000861 0.001683 0.002967 0.005011
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000150 0.000390 0.000874 0.001731 0.003081 0.005245
2025-10-19 0.000037 0.000141 0.000377 0.000864 0.001740 0.003135 0.005389